The third Test between India and Australia at the Gabba has been marred by persistent rain, with over 100 overs already lost. While frustrating for fans, this disruption could offer India a major advantage in their quest for the World Test Championship (WTC) Final spot.
Why a washout favors India?
Australia dominated the third Test, piling up 445 runs in the first innings, while India struggled to avoid the follow-on. However, frequent rain delays have prevented Australia from gaining complete control. If rain washes out the remaining play and the Test ends in a draw, it would benefit India significantly in the WTC points table.
Impact on WTC Points Table
- Current Standings:
India sit third with 110 points (57.29%), while Australia lead with 102 points (60.71%). - If the Brisbane Test ends in a draw:
- Australia: 58.89%
- India: 55.88%
India would remain in contention for the WTC Final provided they win the remaining Tests in Melbourne and Sydney.
| WTC Standings 2023-25 (Top 3) | Played | Won | Drawn | Lost | Points | % Points |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. South Africa | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 76 | 63.33% |
| 2. Australia | 14 | 9 | 1 | 4 | 102 | 60.71% |
| 3. India | 16 | 9 | 1 | 6 | 110 | 57.29% |
India’s Qualification Scenarios
- If this Test ends in a draw and India wins both remaining matches (2-1 series win):
- India qualifies for the WTC Final irrespective of other results.
- If India wins just one of the remaining Tests and the other ends in a draw:
- Qualification will depend on Sri Lanka vs Australia.
- Sri Lanka must win at least one Test in their two-match series against Australia (January-February).
Rain could be India’s saving grace at the Gabba. With Australia’s dominance in the ongoing Test, weather interruptions may not only deny them a win but also keep India’s WTC Final hopes firmly alive. The focus now shifts to the weather and India’s performance in the next two Tests.